Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.400577 0.442215 0.486897 0.538503 0.596577 0.660040 0.734814
2025-07-06 0.319370 0.373903 0.436554 0.514223 0.608425 0.719610 0.861706
2025-07-13 0.287329 0.349514 0.424230 0.521339 0.645268 0.799539 1.008326
2025-07-20 0.263488 0.330645 0.414346 0.527478 0.678147 0.874387 1.153431
2025-07-27 0.245034 0.315763 0.406733 0.533933 0.709788 0.948202 1.302596
2025-08-03 0.228468 0.301314 0.397622 0.536389 0.734740 1.013546 1.445101
2025-08-10 0.215206 0.289845 0.391028 0.540887 0.761804 1.082985 1.599498
2025-08-17 0.198502 0.272152 0.374149 0.528822 0.762996 1.113611 1.696748
2025-08-24 0.189104 0.263915 0.369758 0.534126 0.789804 1.184301 1.863614
2025-08-31 0.178298 0.252792 0.360211 0.530624 0.802256 1.232990 1.998727
2025-09-07 0.170054 0.244802 0.354591 0.532415 0.822722 1.295658 2.163521
2025-09-14 0.160147 0.233646 0.343365 0.524379 0.826262 1.330110 2.281633
2025-09-21 0.151305 0.223754 0.333699 0.518517 0.833554 1.372653 2.421603
2025-09-28 0.139645 0.208851 0.315330 0.497159 0.812867 1.364689 2.466165
2025-10-05 0.135116 0.204836 0.313898 0.503723 0.840800 1.445478 2.691139
2025-10-12 0.130806 0.200881 0.312246 0.509662 0.867905 1.526992 2.927397
2025-10-19 0.126864 0.197264 0.310868 0.515858 0.895795 1.612342 3.182165
2025-10-26 0.122479 0.192652 0.307507 0.518219 0.916586 1.685683 3.420467
2025-11-02 0.118751 0.188912 0.305366 0.522539 0.941304 1.768936 3.691430
2025-11-09 0.112534 0.180642 0.294954 0.510948 0.934102 1.786401 3.814175
2025-11-16 0.109507 0.177664 0.293578 0.516044 0.960219 1.875442 4.116925
2025-11-23 0.105317 0.172456 0.287957 0.512679 0.968897 1.928027 4.338426
2025-11-30 0.102173 0.168914 0.285105 0.514400 0.988067 2.005107 4.631668